Live ledger — real records, collected so far. Coverage is still growing; empty sections mean nothing has been collected there yet.

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ホタルの嫁入り

JPJP

Firefly Wedding

workJPcompletedent-anilist-159142

Firefly Wedding

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Also known as

Native: ホタルの嫁入り
Romanized: Hotaru no Yomeiri
Fan names: Les noces des luciolesLa boda de las luciérnagas
+2 moreFewer
螢火蟲的出嫁반딧불이의 혼례

Claims: 3
Connections: 2
format: MANGA
genres: Drama, Romance
volumes: 13
chapters: 79

mal 154679 · anilist 159142

Claims about Firefly Wedding

Volumes and forecasts

Volumes 1–12 by release month · dashed: the forecast range for the next one, the diamond its most likely month

Volume 13 · M2
From the series' rhythm
Nov 2026 – Apr 2027
Most likely Nov 2026
Oct 2026
Nov
Dec
Jan 2027
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Most likely80% intervalThis month
Volume 12 came out Jun 2026. The last 6 gaps between its volumes, weighed against its publisher's usual gap, and the months already passed without a new one.
80% interval. On volumes held out of training (6,346), the same kind of interval held 82% of the time; the typical miss was 1.8 months. Model record
1. Oct 1, 2026 · Oct 2026 – Dec 2026 (from the series' rhythm)
2. Now · Nov 2026 – Apr 2027
Forecast Nov 1, 2026 · M2 20261101 · this week's snapshot
Anime adaptation · M4
Probability
6%
Gets an anime by Jun 30, 2028
This titleBase rate 5%
It happened within the window — the forecast said 6%.
From its volume history (12 volumes, 4 in the last year) and how often its imprint's and publisher's series were adapted.
On 2,020 cases held out of training, its chances scored 0.043 Brier against 0.049 for always saying the base rate (lower is better). Model record
1. Sep 17, 2026 · 5%
2. Now · 6%
Forecast Sep 18, 2026 · M4 20260918 · this week's snapshot

Volumes in the Japanese registry

Vol.	Release	Imprint	ISBN	Status
13	2026-10	マンガワンコミックス	9784098548484 ↗	Out
—	—	マンガワン女子部	9784098548491 ↗	Forthcoming
—	—	マンガワン女子部	9784098541119 ↗	Forthcoming